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Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 29

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN, Sportsnet
36% win TORwin CLE 64%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin4.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (54-32) host the Toronto Raptors (48-38) on Wednesday, April 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 120 – Cavaliers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 29-14 at home and the Raptors are 22-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 117 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.9 / TOR +1.6 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+4.6

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Raptors win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCLE
114.0
Points scored / game
119.4
112.1
Points allowed / game
114.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
79.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.3
Assists / game
26.3
14.3
Steals / game
8.8
5.5
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #411assists
RJ BarrettF · #912rebounds
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #123pts / game
James HardenG · #15assists
James HardenG · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCLE
48-38Record54-32
114.0Points scored / game119.4
112.1Points allowed / game114.8
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+3.9
W2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games7-3
22-21 roadHome / road record29-14 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.