Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 29
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (54-32) host the Toronto Raptors (48-38) on Wednesday, April 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 120 – Cavaliers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 29-14 at home and the Raptors are 22-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Raptors W2).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 117 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORCLE
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #411assists
RJ BarrettF · #912rebounds
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #123pts / game
James HardenG · #15assists
James HardenG · #19reboundsRecent form
TOR
CLETeam comparison
| TOR | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-38 | Record | 54-32 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| +1.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 22-21 road | Home / road record | 29-14 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
TOR