Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 21
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (63-21) host the Portland Trail Blazers (43-41) on Tuesday, April 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 106 – Spurs 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 33-8 at home and the Trail Blazers are 19-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs W1, Trail Blazers L1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 120 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Scoot HendersonG · #0031pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #59assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2310reboundsSpurs
Stephon CastleG · #518pts / gameStephon CastleG · #55assists
Devin VassellG · #2412reboundsRecent form
PORSA
SA
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-41 | Record | 63-21 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 112.2 |
| -0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 19-24 road | Home / road record | 33-8 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.