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Cavaliers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Thursday, April 23

FinalScotiabank Arena · Prime Video, Sportsnet
52% win CLEwin TOR 48%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (46-38) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (54-30) on Thursday, April 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 104 – Raptors 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 24-17 at home and the Cavaliers are 25-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Raptors L2, Cavaliers W3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 115 – 116 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +1.4 / CLE +4.2 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
-0.5

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

CLETOR
119.8
Points scored / game
114.0
114.9
Points allowed / game
112.4
46.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.4 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
79.3 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.3
Assists / game
27.3
8.8
Steals / game
14.3
7.5
Blocks / game
5.5
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
James HardenG · #118pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #47assists
Evan MobleyC · #46rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #433pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #411assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #308rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLETOR
54-30Record46-38
119.8Points scored / game114.0
114.9Points allowed / game112.4
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+1.4
W3Current streakL2
8-2Last 10 games4-6
25-16 roadHome / road record24-17 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.