Cavaliers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Thursday, April 23
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (46-38) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (54-30) on Thursday, April 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 104 – Raptors 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 24-17 at home and the Cavaliers are 25-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Raptors L2, Cavaliers W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 115 – 116 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLETOR
Top performers
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #118pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #47assists
Evan MobleyC · #46rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #433pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #411assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #308reboundsRecent form
CLE
TORTeam comparison
| CLE | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 54-30 | Record | 46-38 |
| 119.8 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 114.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 25-16 road | Home / road record | 24-17 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
TOR