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Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, April 20

FinalRocket Arena · Peacock, NBCSN, TSN
35% win TORwin CLE 65%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (53-30) host the Toronto Raptors (46-37) on Monday, April 20 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 105 – Cavaliers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 28-14 at home and the Raptors are 22-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Cavaliers W2, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.2 / TOR +1.5 per game
+2.7
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+5.0

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Raptors win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCLE
114.1
Points scored / game
119.9
112.4
Points allowed / game
115.0
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
79.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.3
Assists / game
26.3
14.3
Steals / game
8.8
5.5
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #426pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #45assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5410rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #455assists
Evan MobleyC · #48rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCLE
46-37Record53-30
114.1Points scored / game119.9
112.4Points allowed / game115.0
+1.5Adjusted margin / game+4.2
L1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games8-2
22-20 roadHome / road record28-14 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.