Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, April 19
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (62-21) host the Portland Trail Blazers (43-40) on Sunday, April 19 at 9:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 98 – Spurs 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 32-8 at home and the Trail Blazers are 19-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Spurs L1, Trail Blazers W3).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 120 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSA
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #830pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #511assistsDeni AvdijaF · #810reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #135pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Stephon CastleG · #57reboundsRecent form
PORSA
SA
Team comparison
| POR | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-40 | Record | 62-21 |
| 114.9 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| -0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 19-23 road | Home / road record | 32-8 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.