Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, April 18
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (54-28) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) on Saturday, April 18 at 3:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 105 – Nuggets 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 28-13 at home and the Timberwolves are 23-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 10-0 for the Nuggets and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Nuggets W12, Timberwolves W2).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINDEN
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #522pts / gameAnthony EdwardsG · #57assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2730pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1511assistsNikola JokicC · #1513reboundsRecent form
MINDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MIN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-33 | Record | 54-28 |
| 117.5 | Points scored / game | 121.9 |
| 114.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.9 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W12 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 10-0 |
| 23-18 road | Home / road record | 28-13 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.