Heat vs Hornets prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 14
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (44-38) host the Miami Heat (43-39) on Tuesday, April 14 at 7:30 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 126 – Hornets 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 21-20 at home and the Heat are 17-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hornets and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Hornets W1, Heat W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 117 – 114 Heat, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACHA
Top performers
Heat
Davion MitchellG · #228pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #248assists
Kel'el WareC · #919reboundsHornets
LaMelo BallG · #130pts / gameLaMelo BallG · #110assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1414reboundsRecent form
MIACHAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| MIA | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-39 | Record | 44-38 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 117.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.6 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 17-24 road | Home / road record | 21-20 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.