Hornets vs Heat prediction NBA · Friday, November 7
At a glance
The Miami Heat (4-4) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-5) on Friday, November 7 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 108 – Heat 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 2-0 at home and the Hornets are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for the Heat and 3-5 for the Hornets (current streaks: Heat L1, Hornets L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Heat dominate this matchup. The model projects Heat 118 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.9 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (115.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Heat's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAMIA
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #730pts / game
Tre MannG · #17assists
Miles BridgesF · #2212reboundsHeat
Norman PowellG · #2425pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #249assistsJaime Jaquez Jr.F · #248reboundsRecent form
CHAMIAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 4-4 |
| 111.2 | Points scored / game | 115.3 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.1 |
| -4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.