Heat vs Hornets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (34-34) host the Miami Heat (38-30) on Tuesday, March 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 106 – Hornets 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 14-17 at home and the Heat are 15-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Heat (current streaks: Hornets L1, Heat L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hornets 116 – 115 Heat, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACHA
Top performers
Heat
Tyler HerroG · #1120pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #246assistsTyler HerroG · #118reboundsHornets
LaMelo BallG · #130pts / gameLaMelo BallG · #113assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1413reboundsRecent form
MIACHAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| MIA | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-30 | Record | 34-34 |
| 118.9 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 115.6 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 15-18 road | Home / road record | 14-17 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.