Heat vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, March 6
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (32-31) host the Miami Heat (34-29) on Friday, March 6 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 128 – Hornets 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 14-16 at home and the Heat are 14-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Heat (current streaks: Hornets W6, Heat W3).
The analysis Model
The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 116 – 113 Heat, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Heat played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACHA
Top performers
Heat
Tyler HerroG · #1133pts / gameTyler HerroG · #119assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1312reboundsHornets
Kon KnueppelG · #727pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #245assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1414reboundsRecent form
MIACHAHead-to-head
MIA lead 3-1 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| MIA | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-29 | Record | 32-31 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 114.3 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +2.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| W3 | Current streak | W6 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 14-18 road | Home / road record | 14-16 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.