Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Heat vs Bulls prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, CHSN+, FanDuel SN Sun, NBA League Pass
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
26-23 · away
Final score
116-113
Projected: 118-117
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
23-25 · home
51% win MIAwin CHI 49%
FavoriteMIA
Projected margin0.5
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (23-24) host the Miami Heat (25-23) on Thursday, January 29 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 116 – Bulls 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 15-10 at home and the Heat are 10-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bulls and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Bulls L2, Heat L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 117 – 118 Heat, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls and the Heat played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -1.7 / MIA +1.1 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-0.5

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Heat win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

MIACHI
118.0
Points scored / game
117.7
116.7
Points allowed / game
119.7
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.7 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
71.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
42.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.4
8.4
Steals / game
9.0
5.4
Blocks / game
4.8
14.2
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Heat
Norman PowellG · #2421pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #246assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1312rebounds
Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1323pts / game
Coby WhiteG · #38assists
Kevin HuerterG · #2710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIA
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MIACHI
25-23Record23-24
118.0Points scored / game117.7
116.7Points allowed / game119.7
+1.1Adjusted margin / game-1.7
L1Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games6-4
10-15 roadHome / road record15-10 home
37-45 (+0.6)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.