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Heat vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, November 21

FinalUnited Center · FanDuel SN Sun, NBA League Pass, CHSN+
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
10-6 · away
Final score
143-107
Projected: 119-118
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
8-7 · home
51% win MIAwin CHI 49%
FavoriteMIA
Projected margin0.4
Projected total237
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (8-6) host the Miami Heat (9-6) on Friday, November 21 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 143 – Bulls 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 5-1 at home and the Heat are 2-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bulls and 6-4 for the Heat (current streaks: Bulls W2, Heat W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bulls 118 – 119 Heat, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Heat's defense allows clearly fewer points (115.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -0.7 / MIA +2.0 per game
-2.7
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-0.4

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Heat win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

MIACHI
117.8
Points scored / game
119.9
115.5
Points allowed / game
120.7
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.7 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
71.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
42.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.4
8.4
Steals / game
9.0
5.4
Blocks / game
4.8
14.2
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Heat
Kel'el WareC · #920pts / game
Pelle LarssonG · #97assists
Kel'el WareC · #914rebounds
Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1323pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #39assists
Josh GiddeyG · #311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIA
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MIACHI
9-6Record8-6
117.8Points scored / game119.9
115.5Points allowed / game120.7
+2.0Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W2Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games4-6
2-5 roadHome / road record5-1 home
37-45 (+0.6)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.