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Bulls vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31

FinalKaseya Center · FanDuel SN Sun, CHSN, NBA League Pass
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-25 · away
Final score
125-118
Projected: 115-121
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
26-24 · home
34% win CHIwin MIA 66%
FavoriteMIA
Projected margin5.1
Projected total236
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Miami Heat (26-23) host the Chicago Bulls (23-25) on Saturday, January 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 125 – Heat 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 15-8 at home and the Bulls are 8-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Heat and 5-5 for the Bulls (current streaks: Heat W1, Bulls L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Heat, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 121 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Heat
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIA +1.1 / CHI -1.7 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageHeat at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Heat
+5.1

Scenarios

Heat win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Bulls win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIA
117.6
Points scored / game
118.0
119.6
Points allowed / game
116.6
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.7 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
42.8
24.4
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.4
4.8
Blocks / game
5.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.2

Top performers

Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1329pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #139assists
Ayo DosunmuG · #138rebounds
Heat
Pelle LarssonG · #922pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #247assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIMIA
23-25Record26-23
117.6Points scored / game118.0
119.6Points allowed / game116.6
-1.7Adjusted margin / game+1.1
L3Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
8-14 roadHome / road record15-8 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season37-45 (+0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.