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Bulls vs Heat prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalKaseya Center · NBA League Pass, CHSN
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-26 · away
Final score
91-134
Projected: 115-120
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
27-24 · home
35% win CHIwin MIA 65%
FavoriteMIA
Projected margin4.9
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Miami Heat (26-24) host the Chicago Bulls (24-25) on Sunday, February 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 91 – Heat 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 15-9 at home and the Bulls are 9-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 6-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Heat L1, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

The Heat are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Heat 120 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Heat and the Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Heat
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIA +1.0 / CHI -1.6 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageHeat at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Heat
+4.9

Scenarios

Heat win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Bulls win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIA
117.8
Points scored / game
118.0
119.6
Points allowed / game
116.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.7 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
42.8
24.4
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.4
4.8
Blocks / game
5.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.2

Top performers

Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #316pts / game
Yuki KawamuraG · #176assists
Patrick WilliamsF · #4410rebounds
Heat
Bam AdebayoC · #1320pts / game
Kasparas JakucionisG · #259assists
Bam AdebayoC · #139rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIMIA
24-25Record26-24
117.8Points scored / game118.0
119.6Points allowed / game116.8
-1.6Adjusted margin / game+1.0
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
9-14 roadHome / road record15-9 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season37-45 (+0.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.