Raptors vs Heat prediction NBA · Monday, December 15
At a glance
The Miami Heat (14-11) host the Toronto Raptors (15-11) on Monday, December 15 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 106 – Heat 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 10-3 at home and the Raptors are 7-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 4-6 for the Raptors (current streaks: Heat L4, Raptors L4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 118 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORMIA
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #728pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2310assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410reboundsHeat
Bam AdebayoC · #1320pts / game
Norman PowellG · #244assists
Kel'el WareC · #913reboundsRecent form
TORMIAHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 14-11 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 118.1 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 115.6 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L4 | Current streak | L4 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 7-5 road | Home / road record | 10-3 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.