Raptors vs Heat prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23
At a glance
The Miami Heat (15-14) host the Toronto Raptors (17-13) on Tuesday, December 23 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 112 – Heat 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 10-4 at home and the Raptors are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Heat and 3-7 for the Raptors (current streaks: Heat L2, Raptors L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 117 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (117.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORMIA
Top performers
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #427pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #3012reboundsHeat
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2421pts / game
Norman PowellG · #246assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1312reboundsRecent form
TORMIAHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-13 | Record | 15-14 |
| 112.7 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 113.1 | Points allowed / game | 115.5 |
| -0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 10-4 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.