Heat vs Raptors prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (43-35) host the Miami Heat (41-37) on Tuesday, April 7 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 95 – Raptors 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 21-17 at home and the Heat are 16-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 3-7 for the Heat (current streaks: Raptors L1, Heat W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Raptors 117 – 115 Heat, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIATOR
Top performers
Heat
Andrew WigginsF · #2224pts / game
Tyler HerroG · #116assists
Bam AdebayoC · #139reboundsRaptors
Scottie BarnesF · #425pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2311assistsScottie BarnesF · #48reboundsRecent form
MIATORHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| MIA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-37 | Record | 43-35 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 16-22 road | Home / road record | 21-17 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.