Rockets vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, December 15
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (18-6) host the Houston Rockets (16-6) on Monday, December 15 at 9:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 125 – Nuggets 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 6-4 at home and the Rockets are 8-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 7-3 for the Rockets (current streaks: Nuggets W4, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nuggets 118 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUDEN
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2833pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #2810assists
Amen ThompsonG · #112reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1539pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
HOUDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| HOU | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-6 | Record | 18-6 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 123.9 |
| 110.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| +7.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-4 road | Home / road record | 6-4 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.