Rockets vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (20-6) host the Houston Rockets (16-8) on Saturday, December 20 at 5:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 115 – Nuggets 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 8-4 at home and the Rockets are 8-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Nuggets and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Nuggets W6, Rockets L2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (124.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUDEN
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #156assists
Steven AdamsC · #1212reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1525pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #277assists
Bruce BrownG · #112reboundsRecent form
HOUDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| HOU | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-8 | Record | 20-6 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 124.1 |
| 111.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | W6 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 8-6 road | Home / road record | 8-4 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.