Nuggets vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, November 21
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (10-3) host the Denver Nuggets (11-3) on Friday, November 21 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 112 – Rockets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 5-1 at home and the Nuggets are 5-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Rockets and 8-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Rockets W5, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Rockets 118 – 116 Nuggets, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENHOU
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1534pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #2710assistsNikola JokicC · #1510reboundsRockets
Reed SheppardG · #1527pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #286assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1011reboundsRecent form
DENHOUHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 10-3 |
| 122.8 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 114.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.2 |
| +6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 5-2 road | Home / road record | 5-1 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.