Kings vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (16-9) host the Sacramento Kings (6-19) on Sunday, December 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 103 – Timberwolves 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 8-4 at home and the Kings are 3-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Kings L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 123 – 110 Kings, a margin of about 13.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.2 vs -6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACMIN
Top performers
Kings
Precious AchiuwaF · #917pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Keegan MurrayF · #138reboundsTimberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3024pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #06assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRecent form
SACMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| SAC | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-19 | Record | 16-9 |
| 112.6 | Points scored / game | 118.1 |
| 120.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.1 |
| -6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 3-11 road | Home / road record | 8-4 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.