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Kings vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
18% win SACwin MIN 82%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin11.2
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (7-4) host the Sacramento Kings (3-9) on Friday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 110 – Timberwolves 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 2-2 at home and the Kings are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Timberwolves W3, Kings L4).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 122 – 110 Kings, a margin of about 11.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.4 vs -4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.4 / SAC -4.5 per game
+8.9
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+11.2

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Kings win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

SACMIN
114.6
Points scored / game
117.6
119.9
Points allowed / game
112.4
44.5 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
30.0 %
3-point %
38.4 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
73.1 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
51.6
22.8
Assists / game
27.0
6.8
Steals / game
9.2
2.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.3
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Kings
Domantas SabonisF · #1134pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1814assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1111rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #530pts / game
Julius RandleF · #305assists
Naz ReidC · #012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACMIN
3-9Record7-4
114.6Points scored / game117.6
119.9Points allowed / game112.4
-4.5Adjusted margin / game+4.4
L4Current streakW3
2-8Last 10 games6-4
1-4 roadHome / road record2-2 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.