Timberwolves vs Kings prediction NBA · Monday, November 24
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (4-13) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-6) on Monday, November 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 112 – Kings 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 75% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 2-5 at home and the Timberwolves are 5-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Kings W1, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 112 – 120 Timberwolves, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.0 vs +4.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINSAC
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #543pts / game
Julius RandleF · #305assists
Rudy GobertC · #2713reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1033pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #179assists
Keegan MurrayF · #1314reboundsRecent form
MINSACHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 4-13 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 112.0 | Points allowed / game | 120.6 |
| +4.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 5-3 road | Home / road record | 2-5 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.