Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Timberwolves vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9

FinalGolden 1 Center · FanDuel SN North, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
61% win MINwin SAC 39%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin3.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (3-6) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (5-4) on Sunday, November 9 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 144 – Kings 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 2-2 at home and the Timberwolves are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for the Kings and 5-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Kings L1, Timberwolves W1).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 114 – 117 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.2 vs +3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -2.2 / MIN +3.5 per game
-5.6
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-3.3

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Timberwolves win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

MINSAC
116.2
Points scored / game
115.5
112.1
Points allowed / game
118.0
47.3 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
38.4 %
3-point %
30.0 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
62.7 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
41.5
27.0
Assists / game
22.8
9.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
2.5
16.2
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #526pts / game
Anthony EdwardsG · #55assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712rebounds
Kings
Zach LaVineG · #826pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #105assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1113rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINSAC
5-4Record3-6
116.2Points scored / game115.5
112.1Points allowed / game118.0
+3.5Adjusted margin / game-2.2
W1Current streakL1
5-4Last 10 games3-6
3-2 roadHome / road record2-2 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.