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Wizards vs Pacers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, MNMT
20% win WSHwin IND 80%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin10.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (6-19) host the Washington Wizards (3-20) on Sunday, December 14 at 3:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 108 – Pacers 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 80% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 5-8 at home and the Wizards are 1-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 2-8 for the Wizards (current streaks: Pacers L1, Wizards L4).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pacers dominate this matchup. The model projects Pacers 122 – 112 Wizards, a margin of about 10.7 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.8 vs -12.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -3.8 / WSH -12.2 per game
+8.4
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+10.7

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
52%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Wizards win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHIND
111.3
Points scored / game
113.1
125.6
Points allowed / game
117.5
48.0 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
28.5 %
3-point %
31.2 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
83.1 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
44.0
25.8
Assists / game
29.4
7.4
Steals / game
6.4
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Wizards
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #323pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #189assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #314rebounds
Pacers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2415pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2312rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHIND
3-20Record6-19
111.3Points scored / game113.1
125.6Points allowed / game117.5
-12.2Adjusted margin / game-3.8
L4Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games4-6
1-11 roadHome / road record5-8 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.