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Pacers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass
58% win INDwin WSH 42%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin2.4
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (14-39) host the Indiana Pacers (15-40) on Thursday, February 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 105 – Wizards 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 9-18 at home and the Pacers are 5-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Pacers (current streaks: Wizards L3, Pacers W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 115 – 117 Pacers, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.6 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.6 / IND -4.9 per game
-4.7
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-2.4

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

INDWSH
112.3
Points scored / game
111.4
118.0
Points allowed / game
122.6
47.1 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
31.2 %
3-point %
28.5 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
72.7 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
40.0
29.4
Assists / game
25.8
6.4
Steals / game
7.4
4.8
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #519pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #57assists
Jarace WalkerF · #514rebounds
Wizards
Anthony GillF · #1613pts / game
Sharife CooperG · #137assists
Anthony GillF · #168rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDWSH
15-40Record14-39
112.3Points scored / game111.4
118.0Points allowed / game122.6
-4.9Adjusted margin / game-9.6
W2Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games4-6
5-22 roadHome / road record9-18 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.