Wizards vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, November 28
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (2-16) host the Washington Wizards (2-15) on Friday, November 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 86 – Pacers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 2-6 at home and the Wizards are 1-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Pacers L3, Wizards W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pacers dominate this matchup. The model projects Pacers 121 – 113 Wizards, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs -11.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHIND
Top performers
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2024pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #224assistsAlex SarrC · #209reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assistsPascal SiakamF · #4311reboundsRecent form
WSHINDHead-to-head
WSH lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-15 | Record | 2-16 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 112.7 |
| 125.0 | Points allowed / game | 118.9 |
| -11.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 1-9 road | Home / road record | 2-6 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.