Pacers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Friday, February 20
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (15-39) host the Indiana Pacers (15-41) on Friday, February 20 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 118 – Wizards 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 10-18 at home and the Pacers are 5-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Wizards and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Wizards W1, Pacers L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 114 – 116 Pacers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards and the Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-9.3 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDWSH
Top performers
Pacers
Jay HuffC · #3222pts / game
Kam JonesG · #1911assists
Jarace WalkerF · #512reboundsWizards
Alondes WilliamsG · #3125pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assistsAlondes WilliamsG · #3110reboundsRecent form
INDWSHHead-to-head
WSH lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| IND | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-41 | Record | 15-39 |
| 112.2 | Points scored / game | 111.4 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 122.4 |
| -4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-23 road | Home / road record | 10-18 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.