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Cavaliers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Friday, December 12

FinalCapital One Arena · FanDuel SN OH, MNMT
88% win CLEwin WSH 12%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin14.6
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (3-19) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (14-11) on Friday, December 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 130 – Wizards 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 2-8 at home and the Cavaliers are 5-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 4-6 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Wizards L3, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Wizards 110 – 125 Cavaliers, a margin of about 14.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-12.5 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -12.5 / CLE +4.4 per game
-16.9
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-14.6

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
2%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
16%
Cavaliers win by 10+
64%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEWSH
119.7
Points scored / game
110.9
114.4
Points allowed / game
125.5
46.8 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
28.5 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
79.3 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
40.0
26.3
Assists / game
25.8
8.8
Steals / game
7.4
7.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4548pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #46assists
Evan MobleyC · #413rebounds
Wizards
Bub CarringtonG · #727pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #78assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #313rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEWSH
14-11Record3-19
119.7Points scored / game110.9
114.4Points allowed / game125.5
+4.4Adjusted margin / game-12.5
L1Current streakL3
4-6Last 10 games2-8
5-5 roadHome / road record2-8 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.