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Wizards vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalRocket Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH
10% win WSHwin CLE 90%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin15.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (33-21) host the Washington Wizards (14-38) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 113 – Cavaliers 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 90% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 17-11 at home and the Wizards are 5-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Cavaliers and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Cavaliers W4, Wizards L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 125 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 15.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.0 vs -9.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.0 / WSH -9.4 per game
+13.4
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+15.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
68%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
15%
Wizards win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCLE
111.4
Points scored / game
120.1
122.4
Points allowed / game
115.3
48.0 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
28.5 %
3-point %
36.7 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
83.1 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.8
Assists / game
26.3
7.4
Steals / game
8.8
5.6
Blocks / game
7.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1817pts / game
Sharife CooperG · #135assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #98rebounds
Cavaliers
Sam MerrillG · #532pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Jarrett AllenC · #319rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCLE
14-38Record33-21
111.4Points scored / game120.1
122.4Points allowed / game115.3
-9.4Adjusted margin / game+4.0
L2Current streakW4
4-6Last 10 games9-1
5-20 roadHome / road record17-11 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.