Wizards vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (33-21) host the Washington Wizards (14-38) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 113 – Cavaliers 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 90% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 17-11 at home and the Wizards are 5-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Cavaliers and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Cavaliers W4, Wizards L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 125 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 15.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.0 vs -9.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (120.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHCLE
Top performers
Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1817pts / game
Sharife CooperG · #135assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #98rebounds
Cavaliers
Sam MerrillG · #532pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Jarrett AllenC · #319reboundsRecent form
WSH
CLEHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
Team comparison
| WSH | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-38 | Record | 33-21 |
| 111.4 | Points scored / game | 120.1 |
| 122.4 | Points allowed / game | 115.3 |
| -9.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 5-20 road | Home / road record | 17-11 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
CLE