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Cavaliers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass
88% win CLEwin WSH 12%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin15.0
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (1-7) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (5-3) on Friday, November 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 148 – Wizards 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 0-3 at home and the Cavaliers are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for the Wizards and 5-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Wizards L6, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Wizards 109 – 124 Cavaliers, a margin of about 15.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-11.9 vs +5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -11.9 / CLE +5.4 per game
-17.3
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-15.0

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
2%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
16%
Cavaliers win by 10+
65%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEWSH
119.7
Points scored / game
109.5
113.3
Points allowed / game
123.5
46.8 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
28.5 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
79.3 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
40.0
26.3
Assists / game
25.8
8.8
Steals / game
7.4
7.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.3
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #109assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3114rebounds
Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #325pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #711assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEWSH
5-3Record1-7
119.7Points scored / game109.5
113.3Points allowed / game123.5
+5.4Adjusted margin / game-11.9
W2Current streakL6
5-3Last 10 games1-7
2-2 roadHome / road record0-3 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.