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Wizards vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalRocket Arena · MNMT, MNMT2, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH
9% win WSHwin CLE 91%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin16.5
Projected total236
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (51-30) host the Washington Wizards (17-64) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 117 – Cavaliers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 26-14 at home and the Wizards are 6-34 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Wizards L9).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 126 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 16.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.0 vs -10.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.0 / WSH -10.2 per game
+14.2
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+16.5

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
70%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
14%
Wizards win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCLE
112.2
Points scored / game
119.7
124.3
Points allowed / game
115.0
48.0 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
28.5 %
3-point %
36.7 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
83.1 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.8
Assists / game
26.3
7.4
Steals / game
8.8
5.6
Blocks / game
7.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Wizards
Jamir WatkinsG · #524pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #79assists
Anthony GillF · #166rebounds
Cavaliers
Nae'Qwan TomlinF · #3526pts / game
Tyrese ProctorG · #248assists
Tyrese ProctorG · #2411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCLE
17-64Record51-30
112.2Points scored / game119.7
124.3Points allowed / game115.0
-10.2Adjusted margin / game+4.0
L9Current streakL1
1-9Last 10 games7-3
6-34 roadHome / road record26-14 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.