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Hawks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Friday, December 12

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · NBA TV, FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN DET
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
14-12 · away
Final score
115-142
Projected: 114-119
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
20-5 · home
33% win ATLwin DET 67%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin5.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (19-5) host the Atlanta Hawks (14-11) on Friday, December 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 115 – Pistons 142. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 11-2 at home and the Hawks are 10-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pistons W2, Hawks W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 119 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.6 / ATL +0.6 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+5.3

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hawks win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLDET
118.1
Points scored / game
117.6
117.4
Points allowed / game
113.4
46.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.8 %
3-point %
37.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
72.8 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
46.8
32.2
Assists / game
27.0
10.2
Steals / game
8.0
3.6
Blocks / game
7.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #722pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #112assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Pistons
Isaiah StewartC · #2817pts / game
Caris LeVertG · #128assists
Jalen DurenC · #07rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLDET
14-11Record19-5
118.1Points scored / game117.6
117.4Points allowed / game113.4
+0.6Adjusted margin / game+3.6
W1Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games7-3
10-5 roadHome / road record11-2 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.