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Hawks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, December 1

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
30% win ATLwin DET 70%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin6.7
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (16-4) host the Atlanta Hawks (13-8) on Monday, December 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 98 – Pistons 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 8-2 at home and the Hawks are 9-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pistons W1, Hawks W2).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 120 – 113 Hawks, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.7 / ATL +0.9 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHawks played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Pistons
+6.7

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Hawks win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLDET
118.6
Points scored / game
118.2
117.6
Points allowed / game
113.8
46.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.8 %
3-point %
37.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
72.8 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
46.8
32.2
Assists / game
27.0
10.2
Steals / game
8.0
3.6
Blocks / game
7.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #129pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #17assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #113rebounds
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #021pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
Jalen DurenC · #011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLDET
13-8Record16-4
118.6Points scored / game118.2
117.6Points allowed / game113.8
+0.9Adjusted margin / game+3.7
W2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games8-2
9-4 roadHome / road record8-2 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.