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Pistons vs Hawks prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 18

FinalState Farm Arena · FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
13-2 · away
Final score
120-112
Projected: 115-116
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
9-6 · home
46% win DETwin ATL 54%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin1.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (9-5) host the Detroit Pistons (12-2) on Tuesday, November 18 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 120 – Hawks 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 2-3 at home and the Pistons are 4-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Hawks and 10-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: Hawks W5, Pistons W10).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 116 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL +1.2 / DET +3.8 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPistons played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Hawks
+1.3

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

DETATL
117.3
Points scored / game
117.9
112.8
Points allowed / game
116.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
34.8 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
74.4 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.4
27.0
Assists / game
32.2
8.0
Steals / game
10.2
7.2
Blocks / game
3.6
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #225pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Isaiah StewartC · #289rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #125pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assists
Mouhamed GueyeF · #1811rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETATL
12-2Record9-5
117.3Points scored / game117.9
112.8Points allowed / game116.5
+3.8Adjusted margin / game+1.2
W10Current streakW5
10-0Last 10 games8-2
4-1 roadHome / road record2-3 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.