Hawks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (52-19) host the Atlanta Hawks (40-32) on Wednesday, March 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 130 – Pistons 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 28-8 at home and the Hawks are 19-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 9-1 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pistons W4, Hawks W2).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 119 – 112 Hawks, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLDET
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #127pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #112assists
Dyson DanielsG · #513reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #026pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #2410assistsJalen DurenC · #014reboundsRecent form
ATLDETHead-to-head
DET lead 3-1 this season.
DET
Team comparison
| ATL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-32 | Record | 52-19 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 19-16 road | Home / road record | 28-8 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.