Trail Blazers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Thursday, December 11
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (3-22) host the Portland Trail Blazers (9-15) on Thursday, December 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 120 – Pelicans 143. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 2-12 at home and the Trail Blazers are 6-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Pelicans L7, Trail Blazers L2).
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 119 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-8.7 vs -2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORNOTop performers
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1721pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #86assists
Kris MurrayF · #179reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2524pts / game
Jose AlvaradoG · #59assists
Saddiq BeyG · #418reboundsRecent form
PORNOHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
POR
Team comparison
| POR | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-15 | Record | 3-22 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 118.4 | Points allowed / game | 122.2 |
| -2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -8.7 |
| L2 | Current streak | L7 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 6-9 road | Home / road record | 2-12 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.