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Trail Blazers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalSmoothie King Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, GCSEN, Pelicans.com
69% win PORwin NO 31%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin6.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (2-8) host the Portland Trail Blazers (5-5) on Wednesday, November 12 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 125 – Pelicans 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Pelicans L2, Trail Blazers L2).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 112 – 118 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -9.5 / POR -0.9 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-6.3

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
38%

Stat comparison Current season

PORNO
115.3
Points scored / game
109.0
116.3
Points allowed / game
120.2
51.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
38.9 %
3-point %
29.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
70.8 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
44.3
30.7
Assists / game
23.5
8.3
Steals / game
12.3
2.7
Blocks / game
4.8
13.3
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1735pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #512assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2310rebounds
Pelicans
Derik QueenC · #2226pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #415assists
Derik QueenC · #227rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORNO
5-5Record2-8
115.3Points scored / game109.0
116.3Points allowed / game120.2
-0.9Adjusted margin / game-9.5
L2Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games2-8
2-3 roadHome / road record1-2 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.