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Pelicans vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Thursday, April 2

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
32% win NOwin POR 68%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin5.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (39-38) host the New Orleans Pelicans (25-51) on Thursday, April 2 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 106 – Trail Blazers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 21-17 at home and the Pelicans are 9-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Trail Blazers W2, Pelicans L5).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 119 – 113 Pelicans, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -0.8 / NO -4.3 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+5.8

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Pelicans win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

NOPOR
114.4
Points scored / game
114.7
119.5
Points allowed / game
115.7
46.5 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
29.0 %
3-point %
38.9 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
83.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
46.3
23.5
Assists / game
30.7
12.3
Steals / game
8.3
4.8
Blocks / game
2.7
16.5
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #021pts / game
Derik QueenC · #227assists
Trey Murphy IIIF · #258rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #527pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #59assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #359rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOPOR
25-51Record39-38
114.4Points scored / game114.7
119.5Points allowed / game115.7
-4.3Adjusted margin / game-0.8
L5Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games7-3
9-28 roadHome / road record21-17 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.