Celtics vs Bucks prediction NBA · Thursday, December 11
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (10-15) host the Boston Celtics (15-9) on Thursday, December 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 101 – Bucks 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 7-7 at home and the Celtics are 7-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Bucks L2, Celtics W5).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 112 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSMIL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #117assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8810reboundsBucks
Kyle KuzmaF · #1831pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #713assists
Bobby PortisF · #9510reboundsRecent form
BOSMILHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-9 | Record | 10-15 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 115.2 |
| 109.4 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 7-5 road | Home / road record | 7-7 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.