Bucks vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (30-18) host the Milwaukee Bucks (18-28) on Sunday, February 1 at 3:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 79 – Celtics 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 15-8 at home and the Bucks are 9-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Celtics W1, Bucks L4).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 119 – 108 Bucks, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.0 vs -2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILBOS
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1325pts / gameRyan RollinsG · #137assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assistsJaylen BrownG · #713reboundsRecent form
MILBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| MIL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-28 | Record | 30-18 |
| 112.6 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 109.2 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| L4 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 9-16 road | Home / road record | 15-8 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.