Celtics vs Bucks prediction NBA · Monday, March 2
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (26-33) host the Boston Celtics (40-20) on Monday, March 2 at 7:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 108 – Bucks 81. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 14-14 at home and the Celtics are 20-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bucks and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Bucks L2, Celtics W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 108 – 115 Celtics, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks and the Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-2.3 vs +6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSMIL
Top performers
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1125pts / gamePayton PritchardG · #119assists
Hugo GonzalezG · #2816reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #719pts / game
Myles TurnerC · #33assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #711reboundsRecent form
BOSMILHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-20 | Record | 26-33 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 112.5 |
| 107.3 | Points allowed / game | 115.2 |
| +6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 20-11 road | Home / road record | 14-14 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.