Celtics vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, April 3
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (30-46) host the Boston Celtics (51-25) on Friday, April 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 133 – Bucks 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 17-21 at home and the Celtics are 25-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bucks and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Bucks L1, Celtics W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Bucks 108 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSMIL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #726pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #09assistsJayson TatumF · #011reboundsBucks
Taurean PrinceF · #1218pts / game
Jericho SimsC · #006assists
Pete NanceF · #3510reboundsRecent form
BOSMILHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 51-25 | Record | 30-46 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 111.3 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 25-14 road | Home / road record | 17-21 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.