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Hornets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, October 17

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), NBA League Pass
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
2-3 · away
Final score
108-113
Projected: 105-118
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
4-1 · home
14% win CHAwin NY 86%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin13.5
Projected total223
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks host the Charlotte Hornets on Friday, October 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 108 – Knicks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 86% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 118 – 105 Hornets, a margin of about 13.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.5 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.5 / CHA -7.7 per game
+11.2
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+13.5

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
61%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
18%
Hornets win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

CHANY
105.1
Points scored / game
115.8
114.2
Points allowed / game
111.7
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
48.2
20.6
Assists / game
26.8
6.8
Steals / game
7.2
5.2
Blocks / game
4.4
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hornets
Collin SextonG · #1021pts / game
Collin SextonG · #1010assists
Tidjane SalaunF · #3110rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1131pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #116assists
Jalen BrunsonG · #117rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHANY
2-3Record4-1
105.1Points scored / game115.8
114.2Points allowed / game111.7
-7.7Adjusted margin / game+3.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
19-63 (-9.1)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.