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Knicks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, March 26

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, MSG, DAZN (MSG), NBA TV
53% win NYwin CHA 47%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (38-34) host the New York Knicks (49-25) on Thursday, March 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 103 – Hornets 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 18-17 at home and the Knicks are 21-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hornets W4, Knicks W7).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hornets 113 – 114 Knicks, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +2.3 / NY +5.5 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-0.9

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCHA
117.1
Points scored / game
114.8
110.7
Points allowed / game
112.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
35.9 %
3-point %
30.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.2
14.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1126pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1113assists
Josh HartG · #37rebounds
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #726pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #78assists
Kon KnueppelG · #711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYCHA
49-25Record38-34
117.1Points scored / game114.8
110.7Points allowed / game112.1
+5.5Adjusted margin / game+2.3
W7Current streakW4
8-2Last 10 games7-3
21-16 roadHome / road record18-17 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.