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Knicks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
71% win NYwin CHA 29%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin7.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (4-13) host the New York Knicks (10-6) on Wednesday, November 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 129 – Hornets 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 3-5 at home and the Knicks are 2-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Hornets L6, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 112 – 119 Knicks, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs +4.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -5.3 / NY +4.0 per game
-9.3
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-7.0

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Knicks win by 10+
41%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCHA
118.4
Points scored / game
111.6
113.6
Points allowed / game
117.8
42.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
35.9 %
3-point %
30.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.2
Steals / game
6.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.2
14.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1133pts / game
Josh HartG · #37assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2418pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #14assists
LaMelo BallG · #16rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYCHA
10-6Record4-13
118.4Points scored / game111.6
113.6Points allowed / game117.8
+4.0Adjusted margin / game-5.3
W1Current streakL6
7-3Last 10 games1-9
2-5 roadHome / road record3-5 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.