Hornets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3
At a glance
The New York Knicks (13-7) host the Charlotte Hornets (6-15) on Wednesday, December 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 104 – Knicks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 10-1 at home and the Hornets are 1-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Hornets (current streaks: Knicks L1, Hornets L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 120 – 109 Hornets, a margin of about 11.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHANY
Top performers
Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #134pts / gameLaMelo BallG · #19assists
Ryan KalkbrennerC · #119reboundsKnicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3235pts / game
Josh HartG · #38assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3218reboundsRecent form
CHANYHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| CHA | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-15 | Record | 13-7 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| -5.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 1-9 road | Home / road record | 10-1 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.