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Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 14

FinalRocket Arena · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN OH
24% win DETwin CLE 76%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin8.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday, October 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 100 – Cavaliers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 76% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 120 – 111 Pistons, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+8.1 vs +1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +8.1 / DET +1.6 per game
+6.5
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+8.8

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
46%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Pistons win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCLE
115.5
Points scored / game
121.9
113.6
Points allowed / game
112.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.0
Assists / game
26.3
8.0
Steals / game
8.8
7.2
Blocks / game
7.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2319pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #246assists
Tobias HarrisF · #235rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4517pts / game
Lonzo BallG · #29assists
Dean WadeF · #459rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCLE
1-2Record1-3
115.5Points scored / game121.9
113.6Points allowed / game112.4
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+8.1
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
44-38 (+1.9)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.