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Nuggets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 12

FinalIntuit Dome · ESPN, FanDuel SN SoCal
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
2-1 · away
Final score
102-94
Projected: 113-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
1-1 · home
41% win DENwin LAC 59%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin3.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers host the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, October 12 at 9:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 102 – Clippers 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 59% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Nuggets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 116 – 113 Nuggets, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +4.0 / DEN +3.3 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+3.0

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Nuggets win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

DENLAC
120.8
Points scored / game
112.9
116.9
Points allowed / game
108.2
45.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
32.8 %
3-point %
39.0 %
34.3
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.5
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.0
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Nuggets
Aaron GordonF · #3218pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #156assists
Nikola JokicC · #159rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #217pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DEN
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DENLAC
2-1Record1-1
120.8Points scored / game112.9
116.9Points allowed / game108.2
+3.3Adjusted margin / game+4.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
50-32 (+3.9)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.