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Nuggets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19

FinalIntuit Dome · Altitude Sports, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
35-21 · away
Final score
114-115
Projected: 116-115
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
27-28 · home
52% win DENwin LAC 48%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin0.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (26-28) host the Denver Nuggets (35-20) on Thursday, February 19 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 114 – Clippers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 13-11 at home and the Nuggets are 20-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Clippers W1, Nuggets W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 115 – 116 Nuggets, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / DEN +3.4 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-0.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nuggets win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

DENLAC
120.4
Points scored / game
112.1
116.4
Points allowed / game
111.6
45.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
32.8 %
3-point %
39.0 %
34.3
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.5
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.0
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
15.3
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1522pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #278assists
Nikola JokicC · #1517rebounds
Clippers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2438pts / game
Kris DunnG · #88assists
John CollinsF · #2012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DEN
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DENLAC
35-20Record26-28
120.4Points scored / game112.1
116.4Points allowed / game111.6
+3.4Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
20-9 roadHome / road record13-11 home
50-32 (+3.9)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.